Showing posts with label Investment Strategies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investment Strategies. Show all posts

Thursday, August 30, 2007

Tock Research - As Hedge Fund Industry

Both the hedge fund and private equity industry had free rides during George Bush's Administration when the Congress was safely in Republican hands. All that changed in November 06 when the Democrats swept the Congress, and with the change in control came new Democratic responsibilities to address the fiscal deficits generated during the time, the Republicans controlled both the executive and legislative branches of government.

All About Hedge Funds : The Easy Way to Get Started
by Robert A. Jaeger

Explains how any investor can take advantage of the high-potential returns of hedge funds while incorporating safeguards to limit their volatility and risk. This clear-headed, commonsense guide tells investors:

  • What hedge funds are and what they are not
  • Four key hedge fund strategies
  • How to incorporate hedge funds into an existing portfolio
  • Types of risk involved in hedge fund investing

It is strange to ponder, but the Republican Party which is considered by most to be the party of fiscal responsibility has probably generated 80% to 90% of the nation's accumulated national debt. Nevertheless, myths still persist that the Democrats are the big spenders. Just today, the major newspapers featured articles stating that Bush says Democrats must control spending.

Now there are only two ways to deal with spending. The first is to spend less, but no politician likes that concept. The first rule of government is that politicians regardless of party spend money. The second way is to raise taxes in an attempt to close the gap between spending and revenues taken in. With the Democrats in power, they will use the second method, which now brings us to Hedge Funds and Private Equity.

Under the provisions of the current tax code, both Hedge Funds and Private Equity are given preferential tax treatment. Certain items of income which might be considered subject to ordinary income tax rates are instead subject to 15% capital gains tax rates. As for the equity of this policy, the quick and dirty of it, is that there is no equity or fairness. The tax code is 80,000 pages of special interests. Every provision in the tax code was written in a certain way to benefit some one, or some special interest, whether it's the farmer or a hedge fund, or the restaurant industry. Everybody exercised their political muscle at one time or another to get what they could out of the tax code.

These special interests just head down to Washington DC and meet with the people who control the Congress, go to fancy restaurants, and try to re-work the tax code to benefit themselves. The latest journeyman to Washington is none other than Henry Kravis, the man who made the private equity industry what it is today, through the formation of Kohlberg, Kravis, Roberts and Company (KKR). Democratic Congressman Sander M. Levin is proposing to more than double the amount of taxes Kravis now pays. Kravis is a billionaire several times over, and he's still looking to cut his tax bill. Whatever happened to giving back. Whatever happened to Andrew Carnegie's approach to civic responsibility?

The Congressman's staff asked Henry Kravis very pointedly, if increasing taxes on private equity would adversely affect workers and other middle income type families by distinctly lowering returns that pension funds got on their investments. When Kravis answered "No", the meeting ended abruptly.

In other meetings, Stephen Schwartzman who founded the Blackstone Group, and David Rubenstein, who co-founded the Carlyle Group have met with other regulators in an attempt to stall the tide. Lobbying groups are being set up in a hurry, and money is being poured into them by private equity and hedge funds, who up until recently were asleep at the switch. They did not realize to what extent Washington has had them in their gun sights. For more on this topic, please visit our website.

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Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Dow Jones Industrial Average Explained

We see the numbers nightly on the evening news. The Dow Jones Industrial Average may be up 100 points one day, down 30 the next. But what happens when the Dow rises 100 points? Is that a good day? Or just an average one? Measuring the markets can be a daunting task if you don’t know what to look for.

Investments: Analysis and Management
by Charles P. Jones

Teaches readers not only how to identify successful investment opportunities, but how to anticipate and deal with investment problems and controversies. Jones carefully and gradually develops key concepts, while covering all the necessary background material. Only essential formulas are included. It's one of the most readable, comprehensible investments titles available!

  • Details the variety of securities available, the markets in which they are traded, mechanics of securities training, and insight into the important concept of risk and return.
  • Examines portfolio analysis, valuation and management of stocks and bonds.
  • Complete discussion of Exchange Traded Funds, operations on NYSE and NASDAQ, margin trading, electronic communication networks, global investing, and technical analysis.

Actually the Dow Jones Industrial Average (sometimes known as the Dow 30, the Blue Chips or just the Dow Jones) is only one of several markets on Wall Street. Every evening, with the Dow numbers, you may see the NASDAQ or the S&P 500. These are some of the other markets. But it is the Dow 30 that is the most recognized and most talked about market.

A journalist named Charles Dow first created the market indicator. In the late 1800’s, people on Wall Street found it difficult to interpret the clutter of numbers tossed around on a daily basis. Some companies would be up an eighth of a point or down a half. It was easy to tell how a company was doing if it had a string of down days, but it was much more difficult to figure out how the market was doing as a whole. On May 26th, 1896, in an attempt to clear the confusion, Dow started putting out a nightly report in which he combined the daily results of 11 stocks. Railroad industries were the big traders of the day, but when utility companies started to come along, the number of industries in the report jumped to 20. Today, the Dow holds 30 companies. You probably recognize most of them. They are some of the biggest names in American business- General Motors, Microsoft, Coca Cola, 3M, Disney, IBM and Exxon are just a few. It is a rare occurrence for these businesses to change. Coca Cola has been listed since 1932. We’ve seen GE since 1907. This is why the Dow is the most talked about market on Wall Street. Because these are the most established business in the country, the Dow30 provides the best indicator of how the market, as a whole, is doing.

Historically, there have been good times and bad times for the Dow Jones. During the Great Depression, the markets were performing so poorly, and so many people were losing all the money they had, some turned to suicide. It was only after the bombing of Pearl Harbor and the start of World War II, that the markets started to turn around. The call for war supplies boosted many industries and secured their bottom line. During the economy boom of the late 90’s, the Dow traded around 11,500. However, just a couple of years later, in the middle of an economical recession, it hovered around 7,500.

Daily, investors buy a tiny piece of these Blue Chip companies. These pieces are called shares. The value of these shares goes up or down depending on how many people buy or sell these shares. If several people buy shares of the company on a particular day, the value of one share will go up. If several people sell shares, the value will go down. For example, if you buy 1 share of “Company X” at $10, and over the course of the day, the value of the shares go up to $11, you just made $1. Many times, these numbers are reported in percentages. In this example, “Company X” gained 10%. However, if the value of the share goes down to $9, you lost $1 or 10%. Easy, isn’t it? This is the simplest of examples, however. Companies in the Dow see millions and millions of shares exchanged in a single day. Generally, if the company is doing well, more people will buy shares, and the value will go up. However, there are several factors that decide if a company is doing well. If a report comes out stating “Company X” didn’t reach their sales goals for a particular quarter, investors might see that as a bad sign and start selling shares. This would decrease the value of a share. If “Company X” surpassed their goals, investors will see that as a good sign and buy more shares, thus increasing the value. If only it were that easy. Because companies can’t control what people think, many times companies have little control of the value of their company. For example, let’s say both “Company Y” and “Company X” sell widgets. If “Company Y” sees a bad earnings report, investors might see that as a bad sign on the entire widget industry, and start selling their shares of “Company X” as well. World events also play a major role on how the markets do. Usually, these events have a negative affect on the market initially. Sometimes, the market recovers within a couple of months. Sometimes they don’t. The day a gunman assassinated President Kennedy, the Dow fell 2.89%. A year later, the market gained 21.58%. The day the Federal Building in Oklahoma City was bombed, the Dow gained .68%. One year later, it was up 14.07%. On 9/11, the market fell 7.12% and was still down 10.66% a year later.

Sometimes, companies reward their investors by splitting a portion of their profits. These are called dividends. If 10 people own 1 share of “Company X”, and “Company X” makes a $100 profit, each investor would get $10. Again, this is the simplest of examples, as the Dow 30 companies each have millions and millions of outstanding shares. IBM, for example, has somewhere in the neighborhood of 1.7 billion outstanding shares. That means, a dividend for a single share is usually only around a couple of cents. So which companies offer dividends, and which don’t? That’s up to the Board of Directors of each company. Some companies share their profits. Others think it is a better business move to reinvest their profits to make the company better- thus raising the value of each share.

Many people spent hours a day studying companies that are poised to make a significant gain. The nice thing about the Dow 30 stocks is that these are usually a safe bet. Most people don’t expect Coca Cola to go out of business any time soon. Even if they have a bad couple of quarters, these companies have proven leadership that will eventually turn the company around. They wouldn’t have lasted all these years if they didn’t. So with thousands and thousands companies trading on Wall Street, you now have a better understanding of what all those numbers mean, the next time you see them on the evening news.

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Monday, August 20, 2007

Make your Choice on Mutual Fund

There are thousands of mutual funds to invest your money in. So how do you pick one over the other? Here are some things to look for when making your choice:

  • Fund Performance. The single most important measure to consider is how the funds have performed over time. Check the three- and five-year annual return (and ten-year if available) and see how well it’s done through the years. Anything that has returned at least 10% or more per year over a long period of time would certainly be worth considering.
  • Fund Management. The next thing to look at is how long the current management has been managing the fund. If a fund has returned 20% a year for the past five years, and the current manager is the one who managed it for those entire five years, you should certainly feel comfortable with that person’s skills. If the fund returned 20% for four years and 3% last year, and the current manager just took over last year, I’d be skeptical until he’s managed it a few more years.
  • Volatility. The most volatile funds (like aggressive-growth) will return more in the long run, but will also drop more on bad market days. If you can stomach volatility and are in it for the long-haul, go with a more volatile fund. If you are in it for the short-term or just can’t stand to see your fund go down even for a day, get into something more conservative.
  • Cost of getting into a fund. Every fund will have an expense ratio. This is the percentage of the fund’s money that is deducted each year for the fund manager’s salary, mailings, marketing, and other costs. As long as the ratio is in line with most other successful funds, I wouldn’t be concerned about it. If it’s extremely high compared to others, I would certainly expect a much higher return than other funds. Also, you need to be concerned with whether the fund is a “load” or “no-load” fund. In other words, do you have to pay (load) to get into the fund or is there no cost to get in (no-load)? There are many successful no-load funds to get into. I’d only get into a loaded fund if it has produced exceptional returns year after year.

All of the information I mentioned above on mutual funds can usually be found in a special mutual fund issue published at the beginning of each year by Kiplinger’s or Money Magazine. Using those sources, along with asking a financial professional should help you pick the fund that is right for you.

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Friday, August 17, 2007

Conveniences of Life can Ruin your Budget

When looking for ways to save money, starting with a budget is the way to go. A budget outlines your various expenses in a given period of time versus the amount of your income, and the balance between the two. A monthly budget is probably the most useful to track your spending habits. In fact about 15% of spending can be lowered without much lifestyle change at all.

Just by writing down a budget you will be better prepared to understand where your money is going. Sometimes it is shocking how much money gets spent on useless items like Starbucks or eating out at lunch. Writing your budget down will help you see where money is being spent and establishes a guideline to look back on at the end of the month. A budget gives you reason to take action and propels you toward a life of financial freedom.

  • The Importance Of A Budget
    Budgeting requires you to look ahead and formalize future goals. By establishing a budget, you can set goals for achieving a certain level of income and monitor your expenses. Many home based and small-business owners have remarked that their increase in profit margins did not occur until they had a written revenue goal and a method with which to monitor expenses.

Coming up with your first budget is fairly straightforward. Gather those involved in either income or spending of the budget and first list items that are monthly necessities. List things like: rent or mortgage, groceries, utilities, gas, and car payment. Payments on credit card debt should also be considered a monthly payment and included in your budget. The next step is to tally up the various sources of income for your family. Now you can compare income versus expenses and see how you are doing. Is there a great need for more income? Are there some things on your list that could be reduced or eliminated completely?

  • How to Build, Manage & Maintain Wealth
    You’ve tried borrowing and consolidating. You’ve tried some sure-fire quick fixes. You’ve denied the situation and justified it because others are in the same situation or worse. And besides, when the kids move out, go to school, or you give up the house for a condo, there will be more money and you’ll have two incomes again!

Take a good look at the items you purchase each month and classify each as necessary or unnecessary. Now, take a look at the items with the unnecessary label and decide where each fits into the budget, and which items don't belong at all. Ask yourself what you need instead of what you want when sifting through these items. Things like food and shelter are clearly necessities, but what about that impulse bought shirt or that expensive sushi lunch you just had to have? Try to keep items in the entertainment, travel, dining, and impulse purchases category to a minimum in order to meet your budget.

Americans are all about convenience and retailers are setting us up to pay more money for a little more convenience. Fast food restaurants, quick marts, and cell phones are prime examples of conveniences. Credit cards are another convenience that could very well be hurting your budget. You can buy just about anything with a credit card and it seems so easy, until you get the bill. The biggest problem with a credit card is that it is quick and you don't realize how quickly you are spending until it is too late. The majority of credit cards have an APR of around 18%. This means that, unless you are consistently on time with your payments, you are paying an extra 18% for all of the goods you purchase with a credit card. Sure cards can be convenient, but they can also be expensive!

By sitting down and thoroughly planning out a budget you are giving yourself a chance at spending money in a wise manner; the benefits of a budget are far greater than any negatives. Most importantly a budget tells you where you are spending money. This allows you to make more informed decisions when making purchases. You are now able to stretch dollars a bit further, pay bills on time, and eliminate needless spending. Plan out a budget and you just may be surprised at how efficiently you can spend money.

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Thursday, August 16, 2007

Research Guide about Hedge Fund

The origin of Hedge Funds dates back to the year 1948 when Alfred Jones, a Harvard University graduate, while writing about current investment trends was inspired to try his hand at managing money. He followed his instinct and came up with the innovation to sell short some stocks while buying others. Thus, he raised $100,000 and got some of the market risk hedged. Further, he employed leverage in an effort to enhance his returns.

Investment Strategies of Hedge Funds
by Filippo Stefanini

This excellent introduction to the world of hedge funds takes the reader on a tour of the wide variety of strategies employed by these often mysterious but increasingly important investment institutions. Both students and professionals will value the nicely organized presentation that combines insightful discussions with many interesting facts and figures.

Then in the year 1966, an article in the Fortune magazine highlighted an investment that had outperformed the mutual funds. This gave birth to the hedge fund industry. Just after two years, there were about 140 hedge funds operating. However, a number of hedge funds collapsed in the period from 1969 to 1970. But this downtrend didn't continue for long and the hedge fund market got a new life in 1986 when a hedge fund captured the interest of the investors because of its outstanding performance. After this the ups and downs continued but the hedge fund industry is still prospering and currently there are more than 7000 hedge funds in the United States, with an estimated US $750 billion in assets with a strong role-play in the financial market. They are believed to account for as much as 20% of all US stock trading.

As investors are gradually recognizing the value of hedge funds, the need for the study and research in this field has multiplied. According to a recent study hedge funds do not fall into a strategic asset class. Thus is because hedge funds are heterogeneous and cannot be modeled. Most hedge funds highly specialized and their performance depends on the expertise of the manager of the management team. The returns from hedge funds are usually consistent and have over a period of time outperformed standard equity and bond markets. These have a much lower risk factor as compared to equities. They use a strategy or a set of strategies other than investing long in bonds, equity, mutual funds and money markets. These strategies have the propensity to generate positive returns irrespective of the rise or fall in equity and bond markets.

According to a latest research on hedge funds one classic hedge fund strategy that is gaining popularity is "paired trade". In this strategy an investor buys shares of a company that is doing well, while short selling another company (usually in the same sector or industry) that is struggling. By purchasing shares in one company, and selling borrowed shares short in another, hedge funds can make a greater return than if they just entered a single trade. This strategy offers tremendous profit potential for professional traders. Experts say that this strategy is gaining popularity off late, because hedge funds hedge funds have been struggling to generate the exciting returns to justify charging their investors 20% of profit and a 2% management fee.

Today, in spite of the fluctuations seen in the last few years, the hedge fund industry is flourishing as people have realized that hedge funds can prove to be beneficial as long as they plan there moves carefully.

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